Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 20:00
11.4763.3%
X4.7119.7%
25.4717.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
WWDWWLLWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Telstar
DDWDLDLWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.70
Against
6.60
10.40
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.20goals per match
Telstar conceded1.80
Matchup

Telstar attack

1.20goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.60
10.40
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
21.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.20
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.3%65.5%+2.3 pp
Draw19.7%27.6%+7.8 pp
Away17.0%6.9%-10.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS65.5%

Historical average

2.620.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-213.8%
1-013.8%
1-113.8%
2-110.3%
6-010.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.104.31
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.537.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away57.1%