Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 19:00
12.4438.0%
X3.9423.5%
22.4138.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
DLWWDWWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWLWLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
8.10N=10
4.00
Against
3.90
8.80
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.00goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.00
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.10goals per match
Ajax conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
8.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.90
8.80
Match total
12.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
6.40
On target
7.10
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%53.8%+15.8 pp
Draw23.5%15.4%-8.1 pp
Away38.5%30.8%-7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.576.9%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.691.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-115.4%
2-215.4%
2-115.4%
2-37.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.856.46
Average total11.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away76.9%