Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:45
11.6556.2%
X4.0822.7%
24.4121.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Groningen
DDWDLLLWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Excelsior
DWLDDWLLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.60
13.10
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Groningen attack
1.50goals per matchExcelsior conceded1.60Matchup
Excelsior attack
1.30goals per matchGroningen conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.60
13.10
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.60
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
17.80
Match total
21.30
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches171
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%55.0%-1.3 pp
Draw22.7%26.3%+3.6 pp
Away21.0%18.7%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.538.6%
BTTS63.7%
Historical average
1.95–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
2-110.5%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%
3-15.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.10–4.29
Average total10.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=171.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.535.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%24.1%–53.9% CI
Away FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.84
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals54.1%
3+ goals27.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.3%
Away51.4%