Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:45
11.6556.2%
X4.0822.7%
24.4121.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
DDWDLLLWWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Excelsior
DWLDDWLLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.60
13.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.50goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.60
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.30goals per match
Groningen conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.60
13.10
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.60
Match total
2.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
17.80
Match total
21.30

Shots

19.50N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches171
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%55.0%-1.3 pp
Draw22.7%26.3%+3.6 pp
Away21.0%18.7%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.538.6%
BTTS63.7%

Historical average

1.951.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
2-110.5%
2-08.8%
1-08.8%
3-15.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.104.29
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=171.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.535.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%24.1%–53.9% CI
Away FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals54.1%
3+ goals27.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.3%
Away51.4%