Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:30
11.7552.7%
X3.8524.0%
23.9623.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
WWDLLLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
NAC Breda
LLLDDWLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.10
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.40goals per match
NAC Breda conceded1.80
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

0.60goals per match
Utrecht conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.30
Match total
23.20

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%58.9%+6.2 pp
Draw24.0%24.8%+0.8 pp
Away23.3%16.3%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS60.4%

Historical average

1.961.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-110.4%
1-010.4%
2-09.3%
3-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.24
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=270.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%38.4%–61.6% CI
Draw FT35.3%25.0%–47.2% CI
Away FT14.7%8.2%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.6%
Away47.1%