Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:30
11.7552.7%
X3.8524.0%
23.9623.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
WWDLLLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
NAC Breda
LLLDDWLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.60
0.80
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.10
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
1.40goals per matchNAC Breda conceded1.80Matchup
NAC Breda attack
0.60goals per matchUtrecht conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.30
Match total
23.20
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%58.9%+6.2 pp
Draw24.0%24.8%+0.8 pp
Away23.3%16.3%-7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.537.0%
BTTS60.4%
Historical average
1.96–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
2-110.4%
1-010.4%
2-09.3%
3-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–4.24
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=270.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%38.4%–61.6% CI
Draw FT35.3%25.0%–47.2% CI
Away FT14.7%8.2%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.6%
Away47.1%