Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-26 · 11:15
13.0730.3%
X3.5226.4%
22.1543.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LWLWDDLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Utrecht
DDDLDWWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.40
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.00goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.30
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.60goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.60
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
19.40
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.30
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches549
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%31.0%+0.7 pp
Draw26.4%27.1%+0.7 pp
Away43.3%41.9%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS59.9%

Historical average

1.311.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
2-18.9%
1-28.6%
0-17.8%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.32
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=548.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%14.8%–27.8% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.1%–49.9% CI
Away FT37.7%30.2%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals49.3%
3+ goals22.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away63.7%