Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 19:00
13.3227.9%
X3.6725.3%
21.9846.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

NAC Breda
WLDLLDLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Ajax
LWDWDDDLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.00
Against
5.50
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

1.10goals per match
Ajax conceded1.40
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.70goals per match
NAC Breda conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.50
10.00
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
23.60
Match total
18.90

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.60
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches176
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%29.0%+1.1 pp
Draw25.3%23.9%-1.4 pp
Away46.8%47.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.301.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.4%
1-111.4%
2-18.0%
1-08.0%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.375.24
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=176.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI
Draw FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Away FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals57.5%
3+ goals35.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.5%
Away65.0%