Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 17:45
11.5061.8%
X4.5120.6%
25.2617.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
DWLDLDWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
For Sittard
LDLDWLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.30
2.00
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
7.30
9.60
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
3.70
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

2.20goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.40goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.30
9.60
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
18.60
Match total
24.00

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.20
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%58.1%-3.7 pp
Draw20.6%18.3%-2.3 pp
Away17.6%23.7%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS64.5%

Historical average

2.161.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
2-012.9%
2-18.6%
1-27.5%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.61
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away46.7%