Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 15:45
11.6556.2%
X4.2821.7%
24.1822.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WLDWDLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Heerenveen
DLLWWLWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.70
10.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.00goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.70
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.60goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.70
10.00
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.90
Match total
2.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
21.90
Match total
20.90

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.50
On target
5.90
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%53.8%-2.3 pp
Draw21.7%30.8%+9.1 pp
Away22.2%15.4%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

2.081.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-111.5%
1-111.5%
0-011.5%
2-27.7%
3-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.624.46
Average total11.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away40.0%