Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 13:30
12.1144.0%
X3.6525.4%
23.0430.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Zwolle
DWWWWWLDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Excelsior
LDWLDDWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.60
Against
6.50
11.30
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Zwolle attack

1.70goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.60
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.10goals per match
Zwolle conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.50
11.30
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.40
Match total
20.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.40
On target
3.70
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches314
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%41.7%-2.3 pp
Draw25.4%27.7%+2.3 pp
Away30.5%30.6%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.521.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.5%
2-19.9%
1-08.6%
0-08.6%
1-25.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.69
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=313.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.533.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%24.5%–43.6% CI
Draw FT45.6%35.7%–55.8% CI
Away FT21.1%14.0%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals45.6%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away40.0%