Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 19:00
11.8251.0%
X3.8823.9%
23.6925.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Groningen
LDDWDLLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Go Ahead Eagles
LLLDLDDLWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
6.20
12.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Groningen attack
1.50goals per matchGo Ahead Eagles conceded1.70Matchup
Go Ahead Eagles attack
0.90goals per matchGroningen conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.20
12.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
18.90
Match total
19.50
Shots
18.30N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.0%53.0%+2.1 pp
Draw23.9%23.5%-0.4 pp
Away25.1%23.5%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.544.7%
BTTS68.2%
Historical average
2.07–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.1%
2-09.1%
1-07.6%
2-17.6%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.49–4.29
Average total10.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.540.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.74
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.3%
Away39.1%