Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:45
13.7524.7%
X4.1622.3%
21.7553.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
WLDWLWWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWWLWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.20
0.70
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
8.10N=10
7.10
Against
4.00
12.30
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.10goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.20
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.20goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
8.10N=10
7.10
Corners against
4.00
12.30
Match total
12.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.50
Match total
20.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
5.70
On target
7.20
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%5.6%-19.2 pp
Draw22.3%22.2%-0.1 pp
Away53.0%72.2%+19.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.062.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-316.7%
0-316.7%
0-116.7%
0-011.1%
1-211.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.785.22
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.522.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away69.2%