Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:45
13.7524.7%
X4.1622.3%
21.7553.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
WLDWLWWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWWWWWWLWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.20
0.70
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
8.10N=10
7.10
Against
4.00
12.30
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
1.80
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.10goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.20Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.20goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
8.10N=10
7.10
Corners against
4.00
12.30
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.50
Match total
20.10
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
5.70
On target
7.20
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%5.6%-19.2 pp
Draw22.3%22.2%-0.1 pp
Away53.0%72.2%+19.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.572.2%
Over 3.544.4%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.06–2.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-316.7%
0-316.7%
0-116.7%
0-011.1%
1-211.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–5.22
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.522.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home23.1%
Away69.2%