Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:30
11.5858.8%
X3.9223.7%
25.3317.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
WWWDLLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Telstar
LDDWDLDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.70
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
6.50
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
1.30goals per matchTelstar conceded1.50Matchup
Telstar attack
1.10goals per matchUtrecht conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.50
9.70
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.40
Match total
23.00
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.90
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches192
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.8%56.8%-2.1 pp
Draw23.7%20.8%-2.9 pp
Away17.4%22.4%+5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS59.9%
Historical average
2.03–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-110.4%
1-19.9%
1-07.8%
3-07.3%
3-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.15–4.10
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=192.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.9%29.9%–59.0% CI
Draw FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI
Away FT14.6%6.9%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals22.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.9%
Away41.5%