Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 15:45
12.4038.7%
X3.3827.5%
22.7433.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

NAC Breda
DWLDLLDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
WLLWWWDLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
9.10
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

1.30goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.80
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.30goals per match
NAC Breda conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
9.10
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
23.00
Match total
21.40

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%38.3%-0.4 pp
Draw27.5%27.6%+0.1 pp
Away33.9%34.1%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.371.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-010.7%
1-29.0%
2-18.5%
0-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.67
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.9%26.1%–42.6% CI
Draw FT33.9%26.1%–42.6% CI
Away FT32.3%24.7%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away52.4%