Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 13:30
11.4663.5%
X4.6320.0%
25.6316.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WDWLDLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Heracles
LLWDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
6.70
9.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.90
3.50
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

2.00goals per match
Heracles conceded2.90
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.00goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.70
9.70
Match total
11.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.50
Match total
4.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
18.70
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
5.20
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.5%62.5%-1.0 pp
Draw20.0%21.9%+1.8 pp
Away16.5%15.6%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

2.230.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.9%
1-19.4%
2-19.4%
2-29.4%
1-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.973.92
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.557.8%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away46.7%