Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 20:00
13.3927.4%
X3.8724.0%
21.9148.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Excelsior
WLWLWDDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Nijmegen
DLWWDWWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.30
1.40
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
9.60
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Excelsior attack
1.10goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.70Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.30goals per matchExcelsior conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
9.60
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.90
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
20.50
Match total
24.50
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
4.40
On target
7.10
8%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%22.7%-4.7 pp
Draw24.0%36.4%+12.4 pp
Away48.6%40.9%-7.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.32–1.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
2-210.2%
0-38.0%
2-16.8%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.61–5.42
Average total10.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%