Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 17:45
11.3170.8%
X5.3217.4%
27.9211.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWLDWDLDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
For Sittard
LLDLDWLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.20
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.00
Against
6.70
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.00goals per match
For Sittard conceded2.00
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.40goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.70
9.40
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.40
Match total
24.30

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%76.3%+5.5 pp
Draw17.4%14.5%-2.9 pp
Away11.7%9.2%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

2.370.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-013.0%
2-011.5%
3-08.4%
3-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.793.72
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%55.8%–84.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI
Away FT9.1%3.1%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.9%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals24.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.8%
Away33.3%