Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 17:45
11.3170.8%
X5.3217.4%
27.9211.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WWLDWDLDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
For Sittard
LLDLDWLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.70
1H goals
2.20
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.00
Against
6.70
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.50
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
2.00goals per matchFor Sittard conceded2.00Matchup
For Sittard attack
1.40goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.70
9.40
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.40
Match total
24.30
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%76.3%+5.5 pp
Draw17.4%14.5%-2.9 pp
Away11.7%9.2%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
2.37–0.86
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.7%
1-013.0%
2-011.5%
3-08.4%
3-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.79–3.72
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.538.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%55.8%–84.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%8.6%–34.4% CI
Away FT9.1%3.1%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.9%
2+ goals57.6%
3+ goals24.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.8%
Away33.3%