Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 13:30
12.0146.2%
X3.7924.5%
23.1729.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Feyenoord
LWLWDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Ajax
DWLWDWDDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.90
1.80
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.50
2.60
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.70
Against
5.50
12.20
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.80
Goals conceded
1.80
4.40
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Feyenoord attack
2.60goals per matchAjax conceded1.80Matchup
Ajax attack
1.90goals per matchFeyenoord conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.50
12.20
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
22.50
Match total
19.10
Shots
20.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
8.30
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%55.0%+8.8 pp
Draw24.5%12.5%-12.0 pp
Away29.3%32.5%+3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
1.65–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.5%
2-010.0%
0-210.0%
1-210.0%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.38
Average total9.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.527.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals5.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away17.6%