Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 11:15
11.6855.3%
X4.2222.0%
24.1122.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
WDWWDWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Heerenveen
WDLLWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.70
10.60
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.40goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.70Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.70goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.70
10.60
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
21.30
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
5.60
On target
6.10
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%53.8%-1.5 pp
Draw22.0%30.8%+8.7 pp
Away22.6%15.4%-7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS69.2%
Historical average
2.33–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.3%
3-110.3%
3-07.7%
2-27.7%
3-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.59–4.67
Average total11.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.556.4%
Over 11.541.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away36.4%