Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 11:15
11.6855.3%
X4.2222.0%
24.1122.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
WDWWDWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Heerenveen
WDLLWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.70
90%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.70
10.60
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.90
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.40goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.70
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.70goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.70
10.60
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
21.30

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
5.60
On target
6.10
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%53.8%-1.5 pp
Draw22.0%30.8%+8.7 pp
Away22.6%15.4%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

2.331.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.3%
3-110.3%
3-07.7%
2-27.7%
3-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.594.67
Average total11.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.556.4%
Over 11.541.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away36.4%