Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 20:00
12.1942.5%
X3.5526.2%
22.9731.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Zwolle
LDWWWWWLDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
NAC Breda
LDLLLDDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.20N=10
6.90
Against
4.60
11.80
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Zwolle attack
1.50goals per matchNAC Breda conceded2.00Matchup
NAC Breda attack
0.80goals per matchZwolle conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
6.90
Corners against
4.60
11.80
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.50
Match total
22.00
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.20
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches403
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.5%40.0%-2.5 pp
Draw26.2%28.0%+1.8 pp
Away31.3%32.0%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS59.6%
Historical average
1.60–1.36
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-19.2%
0-08.9%
1-27.7%
2-27.4%
1-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.57–4.86
Average total10.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=402.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.561.7%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%27.7%–45.3% CI
Draw FT45.9%37.0%–55.2% CI
Away FT18.0%12.0%–26.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals39.6%
3+ goals20.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.0%
Away36.9%