Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-20 · 19:00
12.5636.3%
X3.2528.6%
22.6535.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LWWDLLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Excelsior
LLDWLDDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
2.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.60
9.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
2.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.60goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.70
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.10goals per match
Heracles conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.60
9.10
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.00
Match total
20.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.90
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches285
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%34.7%-1.6 pp
Draw28.6%29.8%+1.2 pp
Away35.1%35.4%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.321.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
2-18.8%
1-08.4%
0-18.1%
1-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.91
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=285.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%23.1%–42.7% CI
Draw FT36.9%27.4%–47.6% CI
Away FT31.0%22.1%–41.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away56.0%