Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 13:30
11.2972.4%
X5.5916.7%
28.6110.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Feyenoord
WLWLWDLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Excelsior
WLLDWLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
2.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.50
Against
6.20
12.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
4.60
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Feyenoord attack

2.70goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.60
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.20goals per match
Feyenoord conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.20
12.30
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.10
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
22.00
Match total
20.80

Shots

21.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
8.40
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%72.9%+0.5 pp
Draw16.7%14.6%-2.1 pp
Away10.9%12.5%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.546.9%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.530.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
1-011.5%
2-28.3%
2-07.3%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.663.33
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%58.4%–91.9% CI
Draw FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.0%
Away40.0%