Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-15 · 13:30
11.4166.2%
X4.7019.9%
26.6914.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DWWLDWDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Heracles
LLLWDLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
7.00
9.40
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
2.70
3.50
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.80goals per match
Heracles conceded2.70
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.10goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.00
9.40
Match total
11.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
20.70
Match total
24.30

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
6.10
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches251
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.2%67.3%+1.1 pp
Draw19.9%22.7%+2.9 pp
Away14.0%10.0%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

2.380.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.4%
1-09.6%
3-08.0%
1-18.0%
2-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.51
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=250.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%32.0%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.3%33.7%–59.4% CI
Away FT9.3%4.0%–19.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away29.6%