Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 20:00
11.5958.6%
X4.2422.0%
24.8119.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WLDLWWDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sparta Rotterdam
LWLLWWWDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.70
9.40
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.70goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.70
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.30goals per match
Ajax conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.70
9.40
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.30
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
23.80
Match total
21.20

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.50
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%63.6%+5.0 pp
Draw22.0%18.9%-3.0 pp
Away19.4%17.4%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

2.271.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.4%
1-19.1%
3-17.6%
2-17.6%
3-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.374.00
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%30.0%–66.5% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals52.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.0%
Away40.0%