Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:45
11.4265.4%
X5.0218.5%
25.7716.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
DWWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Nijmegen
DDLWWDWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
2.10
1.30
Conceded
1.60
100%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
90%
By half
2.60
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.60
Against
4.90
11.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
4.40
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
3.10goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.60Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.10goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.90
11.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
18.70
Match total
25.60
Shots
19.50N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
7.00
On target
7.20
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.4%90.0%+24.6 pp
Draw18.5%0.0%-18.5 pp
Away16.1%10.0%-6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.590.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
2.90–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-230.0%
3-020.0%
5-210.0%
0-410.0%
2-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.80–4.20
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away36.4%