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Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 20:00

Excelsior

vs

Heerenveen

12.7633.7%
X3.6225.7%
22.2940.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Excelsior
LWLWLWDDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Heerenveen
DWDLLWWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.60
8.70
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.10goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.80
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.70goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.60
8.70
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
20.70
Match total
22.80

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
4.40
On target
6.00
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%32.6%-1.1 pp
Draw25.7%29.9%+4.3 pp
Away40.6%37.4%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

1.42–1.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
0-110.7%
2-110.7%
1-29.6%
2-29.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.99–4.61
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.4%10.0%–31.4% CI
Draw FT44.9%31.9%–58.7% CI
Away FT36.7%24.7%–50.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away67.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamExcelsiorForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamHeerenveenForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareExcelsior vs HeerenveenCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionEredivisieLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsEredivisie team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.