Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 19:00
11.3171.0%
X5.5816.7%
27.5212.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
LDWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LWWLLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.50
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
5.10
11.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
4.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.90goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.60Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.20goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.10
11.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
19.70
Match total
23.90
Shots
19.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.70
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%78.1%+7.2 pp
Draw16.7%9.4%-7.3 pp
Away12.4%12.5%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
2.66–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.8%
4-012.5%
3-29.4%
1-16.3%
4-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.53–3.75
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.540.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away10.0%