Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 19:00
11.3171.0%
X5.5816.7%
27.5212.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PSV Eindhoven
LDWWWWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LWWLLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.50
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
5.10
11.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
4.30
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

PSV Eindhoven attack

2.90goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.60
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.20goals per match
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.10
11.30
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
19.70
Match total
23.90

Shots

19.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.70
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%78.1%+7.2 pp
Draw16.7%9.4%-7.3 pp
Away12.4%12.5%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.661.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.8%
4-012.5%
3-29.4%
1-16.3%
4-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.533.75
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.540.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away10.0%