Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 15:30
12.7034.5%
X3.5826.0%
22.3639.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
WLLDDWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Ajax
DDWLWDWDDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.00
Against
5.80
12.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.10goals per match
Ajax conceded1.70
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.00goals per match
Groningen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.80
12.20
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
19.40
Match total
20.90

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.40
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches232
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%35.3%+0.8 pp
Draw26.0%27.2%+1.1 pp
Away39.5%37.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS64.2%

Historical average

1.501.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-110.3%
0-27.8%
2-26.9%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.455.12
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=232.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.536.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.2%31.6%–57.7% CI
Draw FT28.8%18.3%–42.3% CI
Away FT26.9%16.8%–40.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.5%
2+ goals57.7%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.3%
Away53.8%