Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-03-06 · 19:00
13.0530.4%
X3.4327.0%
22.1842.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
WLWWDLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Utrecht
LLLDDDLDWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.40
2.20
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.50
8.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
2.20
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.90goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.70
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.40goals per match
Heracles conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.50
8.40
Match total
9.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
25.30
Match total
20.60

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.10
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches636
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%28.6%-1.8 pp
Draw27.0%26.7%-0.3 pp
Away42.5%44.7%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS57.2%

Historical average

1.221.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-210.1%
0-18.8%
0-28.6%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.685.34
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=635.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches183
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT21.9%16.5%–28.4% CI
Draw FT35.5%28.9%–42.7% CI
Away FT42.6%35.7%–49.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away61.7%