Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 13:30
18.7410.7%
X6.6314.2%
21.2575.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sparta Rotterdam
LLLDWWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
PSV Eindhoven
WWLLDLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.60
1.10
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.40
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.50
Against
3.30
8.80
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
4.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sparta Rotterdam attack
1.30goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.60Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.60goals per matchSparta Rotterdam conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.30
8.80
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
18.60
Match total
17.10
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
4.70
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.7%13.3%+2.6 pp
Draw14.2%6.7%-7.5 pp
Away75.1%80.0%+4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.5100.0%
Over 3.580.0%
BTTS80.0%
Historical average
1.33–3.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-420.0%
1-320.0%
1-213.3%
1-66.7%
0-36.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.40–7.20
Average total10.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.546.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away70.0%