Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 13:30
11.8949.9%
X3.5426.7%
24.0323.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

NAC Breda
WLLWDDDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Willem II
LWLLDLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.40
Against
7.20
9.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

1.10goals per match
Willem II conceded2.10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.60goals per match
NAC Breda conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
7.20
9.20
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
2.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
20.90
Match total
19.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.90
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches581
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.9%49.1%-0.9 pp
Draw26.7%26.9%+0.2 pp
Away23.4%24.1%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.661.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-110.3%
1-09.3%
2-08.1%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.28
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=581.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.1%31.9%–46.8% CI
Draw FT39.8%32.5%–47.5% CI
Away FT21.1%15.5%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.2%
Away46.6%