Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 13:30
12.6036.2%
X3.5826.3%
22.5137.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
DDDDDWWWWL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Nijmegen
LLWLLDWLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.90
Against
5.90
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.90goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.60
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

0.70goals per match
Heracles conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.90
10.00
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
24.70
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches142
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%38.7%+2.5 pp
Draw26.3%30.3%+4.0 pp
Away37.5%31.0%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS64.1%

Historical average

1.631.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
2-28.5%
2-17.7%
2-07.0%
1-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.505.22
Average total10.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=142.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.541.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Draw FT31.3%18.0%–48.6% CI
Away FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.4%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away56.3%