Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 13:30
11.3370.7%
X5.4117.4%
27.9111.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
WWWLWWDLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Almere City
LLDWDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.90
Against
7.30
10.50
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.40goals per match
Almere City conceded1.60
Matchup

Almere City attack

0.70goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.30
10.50
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.00
Match total
18.90

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.10
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%74.8%+4.1 pp
Draw17.4%15.4%-2.0 pp
Away11.9%9.8%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

2.340.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.4%
1-011.9%
2-010.5%
3-09.8%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.823.58
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%54.9%–83.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%10.0%–35.9% CI
Away FT8.6%3.0%–22.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.4%
2+ goals62.9%
3+ goals37.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.9%
Away42.9%