Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 13:30
11.3370.7%
X5.4117.4%
27.9111.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
WWWLWWDLDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Almere City
LLDWDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
2.90
Against
7.30
10.50
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.40goals per matchAlmere City conceded1.60Matchup
Almere City attack
0.70goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.30
10.50
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.00
Match total
18.90
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.10
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%74.8%+4.1 pp
Draw17.4%15.4%-2.0 pp
Away11.9%9.8%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
2.34–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.4%
1-011.9%
2-010.5%
3-09.8%
3-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.82–3.58
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.546.9%
Over 11.537.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%54.9%–83.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%10.0%–35.9% CI
Away FT8.6%3.0%–22.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.4%
2+ goals62.9%
3+ goals37.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.9%
Away42.9%