Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:00
11.8151.9%
X3.7924.8%
24.0423.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
LLDWDDLDWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
NAC Breda
DWLLLLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
2.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.50
Against
7.80
10.80
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.90
3.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.00goals per matchNAC Breda conceded1.90Matchup
NAC Breda attack
1.00goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.80
10.80
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.60
Match total
19.10
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.40
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches208
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%62.0%+10.1 pp
Draw24.8%22.6%-2.2 pp
Away23.3%15.4%-7.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS59.1%
Historical average
2.00–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
2-011.5%
2-110.6%
1-09.6%
3-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.90–4.28
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=208.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.533.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%44.3%–71.2% CI
Draw FT22.9%13.3%–36.5% CI
Away FT18.8%10.2%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.04
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals60.4%
3+ goals31.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home79.2%
Away50.0%