Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:00
14.9519.0%
X4.1122.9%
21.6258.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Groningen
WDDWWDWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ajax
WLWWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
9.20
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Groningen attack
1.80goals per matchAjax conceded0.80Matchup
Ajax attack
1.50goals per matchGroningen conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
9.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.40
Match total
22.70
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.00
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%15.4%-3.6 pp
Draw22.9%27.9%+5.0 pp
Away58.1%56.7%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
0.94–1.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
0-212.5%
0-111.5%
1-29.6%
2-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.83–5.65
Average total9.48
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals24.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away72.0%