Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:00
14.9519.0%
X4.1122.9%
21.6258.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
WDDWWDWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Ajax
WLWWWWWWWL
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.30
Against
4.30
9.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.50
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.80goals per match
Ajax conceded0.80
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.50goals per match
Groningen conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.30
9.20
Match total
8.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
2.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.40
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.00
On target
4.70
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%15.4%-3.6 pp
Draw22.9%27.9%+5.0 pp
Away58.1%56.7%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

0.941.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-212.5%
0-111.5%
1-29.6%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.835.65
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Away FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away72.0%