Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:00
12.5536.9%
X3.6725.7%
22.5237.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Go Ahead Eagles
WWWWDWWWDL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Heerenveen
LWLWLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.50
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Go Ahead Eagles attack
2.10goals per matchHeerenveen conceded2.10Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.00goals per matchGo Ahead Eagles conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.70
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
19.40
Match total
23.00
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%40.5%+3.6 pp
Draw25.7%27.6%+1.9 pp
Away37.4%31.9%-5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS67.2%
Historical average
1.76–1.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
2-07.8%
2-27.8%
0-26.9%
2-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.22–4.97
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Away FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.2%
Away66.7%