Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-14 · 19:00
12.2641.7%
X3.5026.9%
23.0131.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Almere City
LLWLLLDDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
For Sittard
DDWLDLWLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Against
7.00
9.90
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Almere City attack
0.90goals per matchFor Sittard conceded1.90Matchup
For Sittard attack
1.50goals per matchAlmere City conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
1.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.00
9.90
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
18.70
Match total
23.70
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
21%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches647
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%39.1%-2.6 pp
Draw26.9%28.4%+1.5 pp
Away31.3%32.5%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS58.4%
Historical average
1.48–1.33
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.4%
1-29.6%
1-09.1%
2-18.5%
2-27.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–4.57
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=646.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.1%30.0%–44.8% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT25.8%19.6%–33.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals19.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.2%
Away44.0%