Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 15:45
11.6158.5%
X4.0423.3%
25.1918.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
LWWWLWWDLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Groningen
LLLLDLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.60
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.60
Against
4.00
10.10
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
2.10
Total goals
3.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.20goals per match
Groningen conceded2.60
Matchup

Groningen attack

0.80goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.00
10.10
Match total
7.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
5.20
On target
3.10
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.5%58.2%-0.3 pp
Draw23.3%24.5%+1.2 pp
Away18.2%17.3%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.770.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-113.1%
1-110.1%
2-09.7%
0-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.893.82
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%42.9%–64.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%21.1%–40.8% CI
Away FT16.3%9.7%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.5%
Away36.3%