Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 15:45
11.3072.4%
X5.5117.1%
28.9410.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
WDWWWWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Nijmegen
WLLWLLDWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.70
Against
5.50
9.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.30goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.60
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

0.70goals per match
Ajax conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.50
9.50
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.50
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
22.30
Match total
21.10

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.90
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches168
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%76.2%+3.8 pp
Draw17.1%17.3%+0.2 pp
Away10.5%6.5%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.541.1%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.580.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.5%
3-013.1%
2-08.3%
2-27.7%
1-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.133.20
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=168.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT67.6%50.8%–80.9% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–10.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals64.7%
3+ goals32.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.2%
Away41.2%