Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 15:30
13.3728.0%
X3.8324.6%
21.9947.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Waalwijk
WLLDWWLLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Heerenveen
LLWLWLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.00
Against
4.70
11.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Waalwijk attack

1.30goals per match
Heerenveen conceded2.10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

0.90goals per match
Waalwijk conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.70
11.40
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.50
Match total
2.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
18.40
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches77
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%26.0%-2.0 pp
Draw24.6%35.1%+10.4 pp
Away47.4%39.0%-8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS70.1%

Historical average

1.421.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
2-211.7%
1-29.1%
3-17.8%
0-36.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.70
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=77.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals54.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away72.7%