Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 13:30
12.6036.1%
X3.6625.7%
22.4638.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Go Ahead Eagles
DWWWWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LWWDDWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.10
Against
4.90
10.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Go Ahead Eagles attack

2.30goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.60
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.60goals per match
Go Ahead Eagles conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.90
10.90
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.90
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.80
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%41.7%+5.5 pp
Draw25.7%22.5%-3.1 pp
Away38.2%35.8%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.581.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-18.3%
2-07.8%
1-07.8%
1-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.455.05
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=204.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.539.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.9%35.3%–62.8% CI
Draw FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Away FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.2%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals25.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.0%
Away48.9%