Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 13:30
12.6036.1%
X3.6625.7%
22.4638.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Go Ahead Eagles
DWWWWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LWWDDWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.10
Against
4.90
10.90
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Go Ahead Eagles attack
2.30goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.60Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.60goals per matchGo Ahead Eagles conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.90
10.90
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.80
Match total
21.00
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches204
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%41.7%+5.5 pp
Draw25.7%22.5%-3.1 pp
Away38.2%35.8%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.537.3%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.58–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
2-18.3%
2-07.8%
1-07.8%
1-26.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.45–5.05
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=204.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.539.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.9%35.3%–62.8% CI
Draw FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Away FT27.7%16.9%–41.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.2%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals25.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.0%
Away48.9%