Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 20:00
11.0986.3%
X10.399.1%
220.464.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PSV Eindhoven
WWWDWDDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
For Sittard
LDDWLDLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.90
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
9.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.70
Against
7.00
11.70
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
4.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PSV Eindhoven attack
2.90goals per matchFor Sittard conceded1.80Matchup
For Sittard attack
1.50goals per matchPSV Eindhoven conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.00N=10
Corners for
2.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
7.00
11.70
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.10
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
16.60
Match total
25.20
Shots
22.90N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
9.70
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.3%87.5%+1.2 pp
Draw9.1%4.2%-4.9 pp
Away4.6%8.3%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
3.33–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-120.8%
3-08.3%
4-08.3%
2-08.3%
5-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.75–2.25
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.587.5%
Over 9.570.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.541.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.6%52.4%–92.4% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home92.9%
Away28.6%