Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 19:00
11.7155.3%
X3.8924.3%
24.6420.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Groningen
WWDDWWDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Waalwijk
DDLLDWLLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.50
Against
7.80
9.30
Total
13.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
1.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Groningen attack
1.30goals per matchWaalwijk conceded1.80Matchup
Waalwijk attack
1.40goals per matchGroningen conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.80
9.30
Match total
13.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.50
Match total
1.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
18.60
Match total
18.40
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.30
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches548
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%59.5%+4.2 pp
Draw24.3%22.8%-1.5 pp
Away20.4%17.7%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS56.8%
Historical average
1.89–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.9%
1-011.9%
1-111.5%
2-09.9%
1-26.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–4.00
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=548.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches144
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.8%44.7%–60.8% CI
Draw FT32.6%25.5%–40.7% CI
Away FT14.6%9.7%–21.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.58
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.9%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.4%
Away37.5%