Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:30
11.5759.9%
X4.2122.3%
25.2717.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
WLLDWDDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Willem II
WLWLLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
2.10
90%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.70
Against
7.80
10.70
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
4.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.50goals per matchWillem II conceded2.10Matchup
Willem II attack
0.70goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.80
10.70
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.40
Match total
19.00
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.60
On target
2.70
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%64.5%+4.7 pp
Draw22.3%18.1%-4.2 pp
Away17.8%17.3%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS54.1%
Historical average
2.09–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.2%
2-111.2%
1-010.9%
1-18.8%
3-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.39–3.79
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.5%49.9%–70.1% CI
Draw FT27.9%19.5%–38.2% CI
Away FT11.6%6.4%–20.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.4%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals20.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home79.1%
Away39.5%