Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-05-03 · 15:30
11.5759.9%
X4.2122.3%
25.2717.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nijmegen
WLLDWDDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Willem II
WLWLLDLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
2.10
90%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.90
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.70
Against
7.80
10.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
4.30
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.50goals per match
Willem II conceded2.10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.70goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.80
10.70
Match total
11.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
2.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.40
Match total
19.00

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.60
On target
2.70
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%64.5%+4.7 pp
Draw22.3%18.1%-4.2 pp
Away17.8%17.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.090.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.2%
2-111.2%
1-010.9%
1-18.8%
3-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.79
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.5%49.9%–70.1% CI
Draw FT27.9%19.5%–38.2% CI
Away FT11.6%6.4%–20.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.4%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.1%
Away39.5%