Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 11:15
11.8052.3%
X3.5926.2%
24.4021.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
For Sittard
WWLWLLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Willem II
LWLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Against
7.80
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
For Sittard attack
1.00goals per matchWillem II conceded2.10Matchup
Willem II attack
0.70goals per matchFor Sittard conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.80
9.90
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
2.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.50
Match total
18.80
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.10
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%56.8%+4.5 pp
Draw26.2%22.5%-3.7 pp
Away21.4%20.6%-0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS47.0%
Historical average
1.65–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.9%
2-111.8%
1-111.8%
2-010.6%
0-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.97–4.03
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=417.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.3%36.1%–52.8% CI
Draw FT34.4%26.8%–42.8% CI
Away FT21.4%15.2%–29.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.1%
Away44.3%