Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 11:15
11.8052.3%
X3.5926.2%
24.4021.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

For Sittard
WWLWLLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Willem II
LWLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.70
Against
7.80
9.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.00goals per match
Willem II conceded2.10
Matchup

Willem II attack

0.70goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
7.80
9.90
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.90
Match total
2.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.50
Match total
18.80

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.10
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.3%56.8%+4.5 pp
Draw26.2%22.5%-3.7 pp
Away21.4%20.6%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.650.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.9%
2-111.8%
1-111.8%
2-010.6%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.974.03
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=417.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.3%36.1%–52.8% CI
Draw FT34.4%26.8%–42.8% CI
Away FT21.4%15.2%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away44.3%