Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-24 · 17:45
11.4067.1%
X4.6720.1%
27.3412.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DLWWWLWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
NAC Breda
WLDWLLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.80
Against
7.20
9.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.30goals per match
NAC Breda conceded2.00
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

1.10goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.80
Corners against
7.20
9.70
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.10
Match total
18.70

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%70.5%+3.4 pp
Draw20.1%18.6%-1.6 pp
Away12.8%11.0%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

2.140.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.6%
1-013.6%
2-112.5%
2-28.7%
3-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.39
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.0%50.3%–72.4% CI
Draw FT23.9%15.5%–35.0% CI
Away FT14.1%7.8%–24.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.9%
2+ goals47.9%
3+ goals22.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.1%
Away29.6%