Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-24 · 17:45
11.4067.1%
X4.6720.1%
27.3412.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AZ Alkmaar
DLWWWLWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
NAC Breda
WLDWLLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
2.80
Against
7.20
9.70
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.30goals per matchNAC Breda conceded2.00Matchup
NAC Breda attack
1.10goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
2.80
Corners against
7.20
9.70
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.10
Match total
18.70
Shots
16.90N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%70.5%+3.4 pp
Draw20.1%18.6%-1.6 pp
Away12.8%11.0%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
2.14–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.6%
1-013.6%
2-112.5%
2-28.7%
3-06.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.36–3.39
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.0%50.3%–72.4% CI
Draw FT23.9%15.5%–35.0% CI
Away FT14.1%7.8%–24.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.68
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.9%
2+ goals47.9%
3+ goals22.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.1%
Away29.6%