Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-23 · 19:00
12.0146.9%
X3.2429.1%
23.9324.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Groningen
LWWDDWWDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Heracles
LLLLWDLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
0.50
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.00
9.40
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
1.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Groningen attack
0.90goals per matchHeracles conceded1.90Matchup
Heracles attack
0.60goals per matchGroningen conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.00
9.40
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.60
Match total
1.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
18.60
Match total
23.20
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
5.00
On target
2.30
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches779
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%46.9%-0.1 pp
Draw29.1%28.6%-0.5 pp
Away24.0%24.5%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.45–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
1-011.9%
2-110.1%
2-010.0%
0-09.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–4.26
Average total9.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=779.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches261
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.2%31.5%–43.2% CI
Draw FT41.0%35.2%–47.1% CI
Away FT21.8%17.3%–27.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.5%
Away39.8%