Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 11:15
13.3428.2%
X3.6725.7%
22.0446.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
WLDLDLWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ajax
DWLWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.40goals per match
Ajax conceded0.60
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.70goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.70
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.30
Match total
22.70

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%31.8%+3.6 pp
Draw25.7%18.5%-7.1 pp
Away46.2%49.7%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.441.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-29.3%
0-17.9%
1-17.9%
2-16.6%
1-36.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.44
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.8%15.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT22.0%12.0%–36.7% CI
Away FT51.2%36.5%–65.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals58.5%
3+ goals24.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.9%
Away68.3%