Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 11:15
13.3428.2%
X3.6725.7%
22.0446.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Utrecht
WLDLDLWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Ajax
DWLWWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
0.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Against
4.70
9.40
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Utrecht attack
1.40goals per matchAjax conceded0.60Matchup
Ajax attack
1.70goals per matchUtrecht conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.70
9.40
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.70
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.30
Match total
22.70
Shots
17.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%31.8%+3.6 pp
Draw25.7%18.5%-7.1 pp
Away46.2%49.7%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.539.7%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.44–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-29.3%
0-17.9%
1-17.9%
2-16.6%
1-36.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–5.44
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.533.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.8%15.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT22.0%12.0%–36.7% CI
Away FT51.2%36.5%–65.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.4%
2+ goals58.5%
3+ goals24.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.9%
Away68.3%