Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 19:00
11.6656.8%
X4.0223.5%
24.7919.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WWDWLDDWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Almere City
LLLDWDLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
0.70
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
7.40
10.70
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

1.70goals per match
Almere City conceded1.70
Matchup

Almere City attack

0.60goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
0%0/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
7.40
10.70
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.60
Match total
2.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
20.00
Match total
18.20

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.00
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches409
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.8%59.7%+2.8 pp
Draw23.5%22.0%-1.5 pp
Away19.7%18.3%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.931.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.2%
1-010.8%
2-09.5%
1-18.6%
1-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.013.91
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=409.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.5%41.1%–59.9% CI
Draw FT32.4%24.2%–41.8% CI
Away FT17.1%11.1%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.7%
Away37.1%