Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 15:45
18.1811.5%
X4.9918.8%
21.3569.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Willem II
DLDLWDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Ajax
WDWLWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
0.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.80
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
0.50
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Willem II attack

1.10goals per match
Ajax conceded0.50
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.70goals per match
Willem II conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
7.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
18.60
Match total
24.30

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.5%9.6%-1.9 pp
Draw18.8%12.0%-6.8 pp
Away69.7%78.3%+8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

0.712.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.5%
0-212.0%
1-212.0%
0-410.8%
0-39.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.536.36
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI
Away FT81.0%60.0%–92.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.2%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals47.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.6%
Away90.5%