Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 13:30
13.9323.9%
X3.6026.1%
21.8850.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
LWDDDDDWWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LLWWDDWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.50
9.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

2.20goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.60
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

1.60goals per match
Heracles conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.50
9.50
Match total
9.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.30
Match total
20.70

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches405
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.9%21.0%-2.9 pp
Draw26.1%27.7%+1.6 pp
Away50.0%51.4%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

0.981.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
0-111.9%
1-210.6%
0-28.4%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.715.58
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%13.6%–27.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.1%–48.2% CI
Away FT41.0%32.7%–49.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.9%
Away59.8%