Eredivisie · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 13:30
13.9323.9%
X3.6026.1%
21.8850.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heracles
LWDDDDDWWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
AZ Alkmaar
LLWWDDWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
2.10
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.50
9.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heracles attack
2.20goals per matchAZ Alkmaar conceded1.60Matchup
AZ Alkmaar attack
1.60goals per matchHeracles conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.50
9.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.30
Match total
20.70
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.90
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches405
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.9%21.0%-2.9 pp
Draw26.1%27.7%+1.6 pp
Away50.0%51.4%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
0.98–1.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
0-111.9%
1-210.6%
0-28.4%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–5.58
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=405.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%13.6%–27.6% CI
Draw FT39.3%31.1%–48.2% CI
Away FT41.0%32.7%–49.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.9%
Away59.8%